Race 1A

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Lewis 5.5% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 12.6% 11.9% 9.4% 6.5%
Stuart Fisher 20.9% 16.9% 15.5% 11.6% 10.3% 9.7% 5.8% 5.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Elliot Lee 15.5% 14.5% 14.3% 12.6% 12.2% 10.1% 6.8% 7.1% 3.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Luke Gossman 10.2% 10.9% 9.8% 11.7% 11.6% 11.8% 9.8% 8.1% 7.4% 4.9% 3.8%
Jacob Henley 6.6% 6.2% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 7.1% 9.8% 10.1% 11.1% 12.5% 13.5%
Rachel Rantanen 10.2% 10.8% 11.7% 10.2% 11.0% 9.7% 10.1% 8.4% 7.0% 6.6% 4.3%
Abby Freeman 7.6% 7.0% 7.6% 8.3% 9.6% 9.7% 11.4% 9.5% 10.3% 10.5% 8.5%
Josh Mallett 6.0% 5.4% 6.1% 7.4% 8.5% 8.3% 9.4% 10.2% 11.5% 12.5% 14.7%
Timothy Dickey 4.2% 4.6% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 6.7% 6.8% 10.5% 11.1% 16.3% 25.7%
Libby Reeg 9.0% 8.8% 9.1% 9.3% 8.8% 8.7% 10.9% 9.1% 11.3% 9.4% 5.6%
Margot Sherman Jollis 4.3% 6.7% 6.5% 7.7% 5.2% 8.2% 9.5% 9.4% 12.2% 14.0% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.