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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+2.87vs Predicted
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2Ohio University0.13+4.47vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.65+1.30vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.28+1.11vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.01+0.84vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.11-0.11vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.25-1.96vs Predicted
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9Denison University-0.21-1.57vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.39-2.40vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University1.06-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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6.47Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.46Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.11Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.84Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.89Ohio University-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.04Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.43Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.6Michigan State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.99Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 18.2% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 10.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Luke Gossman | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Libby Reeg | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% |
| Josh Mallett | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% |
| William Lewis | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| Timothy Dickey | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 22.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.