Race 3A

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stuart Fisher 16.7% 18.4% 15.5% 12.9% 11.2% 10.6% 6.2% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Jacob Henley 6.0% 5.9% 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 9.2% 9.5% 12.3% 9.4% 14.7% 11.0%
Abby Freeman 6.5% 6.2% 7.3% 6.0% 9.5% 9.1% 10.3% 11.4% 10.1% 12.3% 11.3%
Margot Sherman Jollis 3.8% 4.5% 5.4% 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 6.9% 11.7% 12.1% 15.0% 19.8%
Elliot Lee 18.0% 15.5% 14.0% 12.7% 9.9% 9.3% 8.6% 4.7% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9%
Rachel Rantanen 10.1% 13.1% 8.9% 9.5% 12.7% 9.8% 10.7% 8.6% 6.7% 5.8% 4.1%
Josh Mallett 6.3% 5.3% 6.8% 7.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.9% 9.7% 12.1% 12.1% 14.0%
William Lewis 8.6% 6.8% 9.7% 10.4% 9.3% 9.0% 10.4% 9.8% 10.0% 9.1% 6.9%
Luke Gossman 11.1% 11.1% 10.8% 13.0% 9.3% 10.9% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 4.2% 3.3%
Libby Reeg 8.8% 8.3% 10.0% 8.2% 9.5% 9.6% 9.4% 10.3% 10.5% 8.5% 6.9%
Timothy Dickey 4.1% 4.9% 4.4% 6.0% 7.5% 6.5% 8.1% 8.2% 14.3% 14.6% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.