← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Miami University1.20+2.87vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University0.01+4.79vs Predicted
-
3Denison University-0.21+4.51vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University0.59+1.48vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University1.06-0.82vs Predicted
-
6University of Toledo0.65-0.84vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University0.25-1.05vs Predicted
-
8Ohio University0.13-1.68vs Predicted
-
9Ohio University-0.11-1.82vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-0.39-2.35vs Predicted
-
11Hope College0.28-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
-
6.79Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
-
7.51Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
-
5.48Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.18Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
-
5.16University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
-
5.95Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
-
6.32Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
-
7.18Ohio University-0.110.1%1st Place
-
7.65Michigan State University-0.390.0%1st Place
-
5.92Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 16.8% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 20.7% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 18.3% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Luke Gossman | 10.9% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| William Lewis | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Abby Freeman | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Josh Mallett | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| Timothy Dickey | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 22.5% |
| Libby Reeg | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.