Race 5A

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliot Lee 15.7% 14.8% 15.2% 12.3% 11.7% 11.0% 7.6% 6.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.5%
Josh Mallett 5.8% 4.7% 6.3% 6.9% 8.0% 7.0% 9.8% 10.0% 12.5% 13.9% 15.1%
Rachel Rantanen 9.4% 10.0% 10.1% 11.1% 10.7% 10.1% 10.9% 9.6% 8.0% 7.1% 3.0%
Jacob Henley 4.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.3% 6.6% 9.0% 10.4% 12.1% 12.0% 12.6% 13.2%
Abby Freeman 7.3% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 10.0% 9.5% 9.1% 9.5% 11.3% 11.3% 10.2%
Libby Reeg 7.2% 9.2% 7.6% 8.4% 11.2% 8.4% 12.2% 9.6% 9.0% 9.1% 8.1%
Margot Sherman Jollis 6.1% 4.8% 6.0% 7.3% 5.8% 8.1% 9.7% 10.2% 12.4% 13.8% 15.8%
William Lewis 8.5% 6.9% 9.2% 9.4% 10.7% 11.3% 7.5% 9.5% 9.4% 10.9% 6.7%
Luke Gossman 9.8% 11.9% 11.5% 11.5% 11.1% 10.9% 9.0% 9.0% 6.8% 5.7% 2.8%
Timothy Dickey 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 6.3% 5.9% 6.5% 8.2% 10.3% 11.5% 13.4% 24.2%
Stuart Fisher 21.2% 19.6% 15.3% 13.1% 8.3% 8.2% 5.6% 4.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.