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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+2.86vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+2.06vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.11+4.25vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.65+1.28vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.25+1.17vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21+1.40vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-0.38vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.59-2.83vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.39-1.11vs Predicted
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10Hope College0.28-4.02vs Predicted
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11Ohio University0.13-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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4.06Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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7.25Ohio University-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.17Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.4Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.62Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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5.17Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.89Michigan State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.98Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.3Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 17.7% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 17.5% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Josh Mallett | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
| Luke Gossman | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| William Lewis | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.9% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Dickey | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 25.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.