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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Rantanen 8.3% 10.7% 11.9% 9.4% 12.2% 12.3% 11.0% 9.1% 8.3% 4.1% 2.7%
Luke Gossman 11.5% 10.7% 11.1% 12.5% 10.5% 12.2% 9.4% 7.9% 7.2% 4.6% 2.4%
Jacob Henley 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 8.7% 10.1% 9.9% 13.0% 13.1% 13.0%
Margot Sherman Jollis 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 6.6% 5.6% 6.7% 9.0% 11.4% 12.3% 15.2% 19.7%
Abby Freeman 7.4% 6.8% 7.1% 8.3% 8.1% 9.9% 10.0% 10.3% 11.5% 11.0% 9.6%
Timothy Dickey 3.5% 3.8% 5.5% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 8.1% 9.5% 11.5% 15.5% 24.4%
Stuart Fisher 21.0% 19.8% 14.8% 11.3% 9.7% 9.7% 5.1% 4.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Elliot Lee 17.9% 16.9% 14.3% 13.6% 10.8% 8.1% 7.3% 6.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Libby Reeg 6.7% 8.3% 7.4% 10.2% 9.8% 9.3% 10.9% 10.1% 10.1% 10.0% 7.2%
William Lewis 8.4% 7.7% 9.4% 8.3% 10.7% 8.7% 10.5% 10.3% 9.4% 9.5% 7.1%
Josh Mallett 5.4% 5.8% 7.4% 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 11.5% 11.1% 13.9% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.