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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo0.65+3.08vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.01+3.96vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+3.56vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13+1.47vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.39+1.78vs Predicted
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7Miami University1.20-3.32vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University1.06-4.00vs Predicted
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9Hope College0.28-2.82vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.25-3.96vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.11-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.96Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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7.56Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.47Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.78Michigan State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.68Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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4.0Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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6.18Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.04Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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6.91Ohio University-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Luke Gossman | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 19.7% |
| Abby Freeman | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Timothy Dickey | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 24.4% |
| Stuart Fisher | 21.0% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Libby Reeg | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| William Lewis | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Josh Mallett | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.