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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mitchell Hnatt 24.0% 21.9% 20.1% 15.3% 10.2% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Robert Chase 34.2% 28.1% 18.9% 11.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Evelyn Hannah 11.8% 13.6% 15.6% 17.9% 16.4% 13.2% 8.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Charlie Bergendahl 7.0% 8.8% 12.0% 14.1% 16.4% 16.2% 15.8% 8.1% 1.6%
Kenneth Buck 10.3% 13.0% 14.0% 15.2% 18.0% 14.4% 10.2% 4.3% 0.5%
Megan Miller 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 3.4% 5.5% 8.8% 19.7% 57.0%
Jack Wigmore 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 8.8% 10.4% 14.4% 21.3% 23.2% 8.3%
Andrew Ettlemyer 6.2% 6.9% 9.7% 11.8% 14.9% 19.1% 17.6% 11.1% 2.8%
Abbi Barnette 1.9% 1.8% 3.0% 3.6% 5.7% 9.1% 15.4% 30.1% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.