Race 7B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marlena Fauer 21.5% 18.4% 17.0% 13.5% 10.1% 9.0% 5.0% 2.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Caitlin Watson 6.5% 6.7% 6.8% 9.2% 9.3% 10.7% 11.1% 13.5% 12.3% 7.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Emily McNeil 4.3% 3.5% 5.4% 7.3% 8.1% 8.5% 10.3% 11.8% 15.0% 13.9% 8.2% 3.2% 0.5%
Natalie Salk 16.5% 15.7% 15.8% 13.5% 10.7% 9.1% 8.6% 5.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Laura Cuccio 5.2% 3.4% 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.9% 11.6% 14.9% 15.5% 8.4% 4.4% 1.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.9% 13.9% 13.3% 12.6% 11.4% 11.1% 8.4% 7.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Jessica Claflin 11.5% 11.5% 10.9% 10.4% 12.4% 9.9% 11.0% 8.6% 7.4% 4.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 9.9% 11.7% 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 13.0% 12.6% 10.4% 6.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 9.9% 10.6% 10.4% 10.7% 13.2% 12.3% 10.0% 9.9% 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Whitney Washburn 0.3% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 3.1% 4.0% 2.8% 7.5% 16.5% 22.7% 36.8%
Paige Fagan 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 4.6% 4.9% 9.6% 13.8% 18.9% 21.7% 17.3%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.3% 2.5% 4.8% 5.3% 9.3% 14.4% 20.3% 20.7% 13.7%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.6% 4.2% 4.7% 10.2% 17.6% 24.4% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.