Race 8A

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Rantanen 8.2% 10.7% 11.7% 9.6% 12.3% 12.7% 9.9% 9.6% 8.0% 4.4% 2.9%
Luke Gossman 11.8% 11.0% 10.9% 11.6% 11.3% 11.4% 8.8% 9.3% 6.2% 5.5% 2.2%
William Lewis 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 7.0% 9.9% 11.4% 10.1% 9.9% 11.4% 11.1% 7.3%
Margot Sherman Jollis 4.6% 4.1% 5.3% 6.5% 5.2% 7.2% 8.8% 11.0% 12.7% 13.9% 20.7%
Jacob Henley 6.5% 6.2% 6.4% 6.7% 9.0% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% 11.3% 12.7% 12.5%
Libby Reeg 7.0% 8.0% 9.5% 9.4% 8.3% 10.0% 9.9% 11.7% 10.6% 8.0% 7.6%
Stuart Fisher 21.6% 19.6% 13.1% 13.3% 10.2% 7.8% 6.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6%
Elliot Lee 17.4% 17.0% 14.9% 14.0% 9.9% 8.2% 8.0% 4.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
Josh Mallett 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 6.3% 8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 9.7% 12.2% 14.4% 15.4%
Abby Freeman 7.6% 6.6% 8.5% 8.8% 9.8% 6.6% 11.5% 10.5% 10.1% 11.5% 8.5%
Timothy Dickey 3.8% 4.2% 5.4% 6.8% 5.6% 7.2% 8.1% 10.0% 11.7% 15.5% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.