← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Miami University1.20+2.72vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.96vs Predicted
-
3Ohio University0.13+3.38vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University0.01+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University-0.11+1.80vs Predicted
-
6Hope College0.28-0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo0.65-2.27vs Predicted
-
8Denison University-0.21-1.03vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-0.81-0.52vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University0.59-5.03vs Predicted
-
11Michigan State University-0.39-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
-
3.96Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
-
6.38Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
-
6.72Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.8Ohio University-0.110.1%1st Place
-
5.92Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
-
4.73University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
-
6.97Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
-
8.48Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
4.97Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
-
7.35Michigan State University-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 18.6% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Elliot Lee | 18.2% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% |
| Josh Mallett | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Luke Gossman | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 34.5% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Timothy Dickey | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.