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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo0.65+2.88vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+2.24vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.39+3.74vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.01+1.54vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.11+0.83vs Predicted
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7Ohio University0.13-0.97vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-1.05vs Predicted
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9Hope College0.28-3.07vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.81-1.63vs Predicted
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11Miami University1.20-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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5.24Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.74Michigan State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.54Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.83Ohio University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.03Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.95Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.93Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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8.37Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.49Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 16.1% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Luke Gossman | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Timothy Dickey | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 19.2% |
| Jacob Henley | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Josh Mallett | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Abby Freeman | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 32.9% |
| Stuart Fisher | 23.0% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.