Race 11A

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Luke Gossman 9.3% 11.5% 10.8% 12.8% 10.3% 10.2% 11.1% 10.6% 6.7% 4.4% 2.3%
William Lewis 7.6% 7.3% 8.0% 9.3% 11.4% 7.6% 11.5% 10.3% 10.0% 10.2% 6.8%
Elliot Lee 15.0% 16.6% 14.2% 11.5% 11.7% 8.9% 9.2% 5.7% 3.7% 2.6% 0.9%
Rachel Rantanen 10.0% 9.7% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 12.5% 8.8% 10.4% 8.5% 4.5% 4.4%
Jacob Henley 6.7% 6.1% 6.8% 8.0% 7.4% 9.2% 8.8% 9.9% 11.2% 12.8% 13.1%
Margot Sherman Jollis 4.3% 5.5% 6.1% 5.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 11.3% 11.7% 15.6% 17.6%
Stuart Fisher 23.0% 18.0% 15.6% 10.1% 9.1% 9.2% 6.9% 3.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.7%
Abby Freeman 7.4% 6.6% 8.4% 9.9% 9.2% 8.1% 10.0% 9.1% 10.3% 11.4% 9.6%
Libby Reeg 7.0% 8.3% 7.9% 8.7% 10.4% 9.9% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3% 8.9% 8.5%
Timothy Dickey 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% 6.6% 8.4% 6.6% 8.8% 11.7% 14.2% 24.3%
Josh Mallett 5.2% 5.7% 7.3% 8.6% 5.6% 8.8% 9.5% 10.2% 12.9% 14.4% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.