Race 12A

buckeye-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Rantanen 8.6% 9.7% 11.5% 10.3% 12.8% 10.9% 9.3% 11.6% 7.9% 4.2% 3.2%
Stuart Fisher 20.6% 17.9% 14.1% 12.3% 10.7% 8.6% 6.5% 4.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Elliot Lee 15.1% 15.3% 13.3% 13.9% 11.7% 9.4% 8.4% 5.8% 3.5% 3.0% 0.6%
Abby Freeman 6.1% 6.0% 7.5% 6.6% 8.4% 8.3% 12.0% 10.4% 13.1% 10.6% 11.0%
William Lewis 8.0% 7.9% 9.3% 7.6% 10.1% 9.3% 9.5% 10.2% 10.1% 10.1% 7.9%
Margot Sherman Jollis 4.5% 5.8% 5.9% 4.3% 6.9% 8.8% 9.2% 10.2% 10.9% 14.4% 19.1%
Luke Gossman 12.1% 12.1% 12.5% 12.5% 11.4% 8.9% 8.8% 8.2% 6.0% 3.8% 3.7%
Josh Mallett 6.2% 4.9% 5.6% 9.0% 8.2% 7.8% 9.8% 11.2% 9.6% 14.1% 13.6%
Timothy Dickey 3.9% 4.7% 3.1% 6.4% 4.8% 7.5% 7.2% 8.4% 12.0% 17.1% 24.9%
Libby Reeg 9.1% 8.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.2% 10.4% 10.3% 9.9% 11.0% 9.3% 5.5%
Jacob Henley 5.8% 7.4% 7.9% 8.4% 6.8% 10.1% 9.0% 9.2% 13.1% 11.8% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.