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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.74vs Predicted
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2Denison University-1.90+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+0.44vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-1.08+1.08vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.40-2.25vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.93+0.32vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.47-1.29vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.25-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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6.33Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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5.08Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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2.75Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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6.32Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.71Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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3.62Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 27.1% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Griswold | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 27.4% | 33.6% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.7% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 8.7% |
| Evan Rodgers | 26.0% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 23.3% | 34.2% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 20.3% |
| Max Vinocur | 14.7% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.