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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.71vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.40+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+0.44vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-1.08+1.11vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.25-1.28vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.47-0.34vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-0.66vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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2.71Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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5.11Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.72Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.66Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.34Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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6.31Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 27.6% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Evan Rodgers | 27.1% | 24.8% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.2% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 9.6% |
| Max Vinocur | 13.6% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 19.5% |
| William Griswold | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 24.0% | 36.0% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.