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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.09+1.46vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.25+0.69vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-1.47+1.72vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.40-2.30vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.90+0.28vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.08-1.87vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.46University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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3.69Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.72Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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2.7Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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6.28Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.13Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.31Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 28.6% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.9% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Max Vinocur | 13.5% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Atkins | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 23.4% | 19.2% |
| Evan Rodgers | 26.3% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Griswold | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 34.2% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 11.3% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 25.3% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.