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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.09+1.48vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.40-0.30vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-1.47+1.69vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.08+0.10vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.25-2.33vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-0.66vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.48University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.7Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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5.69Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.1Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.67Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.34Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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6.29Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 27.0% | 25.1% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.3% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Evan Rodgers | 27.0% | 24.8% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 19.5% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Max Vinocur | 14.7% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| William Griswold | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 24.8% | 35.7% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.