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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.72vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.25+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+0.43vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.40-1.31vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.08+0.08vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.47-0.32vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-0.65vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.74Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.69Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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5.08Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.68Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.35Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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6.31Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 27.7% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Max Vinocur | 12.9% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 17.0% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 27.4% | 24.2% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 19.1% |
| William Griswold | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 23.3% | 36.7% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.