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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.26+3.12vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.40+0.39vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.15+1.75vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.87-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.41+0.10vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-2.36+1.07vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.80vs Predicted
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9Duke University-1.01-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12North Carolina State University0.2610.8%1st Place
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2.39North Carolina State University1.4035.3%1st Place
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4.75Clemson University-0.158.2%1st Place
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2.98Clemson University0.8721.6%1st Place
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5.1University of South Carolina-0.416.5%1st Place
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4.17The Citadel0.1911.6%1st Place
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8.07University of North Carolina-2.360.5%1st Place
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7.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.4%1st Place
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6.23Duke University-1.013.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Chase | 35.3% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 21.6% | 23.9% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Megan Miller | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 20.8% | 59.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 34.2% | 26.7% |
| Jack Wigmore | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 23.7% | 20.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.