Race 8B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marlena Fauer 21.5% 18.7% 17.8% 11.1% 11.0% 8.3% 5.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 9.4% 10.9% 11.3% 11.2% 12.3% 12.3% 10.7% 9.6% 6.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Paige Fagan 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 5.0% 7.9% 14.0% 18.7% 23.6% 19.9%
Caitlin Watson 4.6% 8.7% 6.7% 9.2% 9.4% 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 12.4% 9.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Natalie Salk 17.6% 16.8% 16.1% 12.5% 10.8% 9.1% 8.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 7.8% 9.1% 13.5% 14.0% 13.4% 11.5% 3.5% 1.0%
Emily McNeil 6.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 8.3% 7.0% 9.9% 14.3% 13.6% 13.5% 7.1% 3.1% 0.6%
Whitney Washburn 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 1.8% 4.0% 9.2% 14.8% 24.5% 35.6%
Jessica Claflin 10.4% 9.4% 10.7% 13.1% 10.9% 12.3% 9.8% 10.5% 6.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 10.6% 10.2% 10.7% 12.9% 11.2% 9.4% 11.2% 9.2% 7.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.6% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 3.6% 4.8% 4.4% 5.6% 11.3% 14.1% 21.1% 16.7% 12.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.1% 12.8% 11.7% 13.1% 10.1% 11.9% 12.2% 7.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 3.7% 6.0% 9.8% 17.1% 24.7% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.