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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+1.63vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+0.43vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25-0.29vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.08+0.06vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.90+0.33vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.47-1.26vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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2.81Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.43University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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3.71Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.06Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.33Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.74Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.3Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 28.8% | 25.5% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Aspery | 25.1% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.9% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Max Vinocur | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 9.1% |
| William Griswold | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 35.4% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 23.2% | 20.3% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 25.4% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.