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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.09+1.47vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.40-0.29vs Predicted
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4Denison University-1.90+2.34vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.25-1.31vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.47-0.34vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.08-1.89vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.47University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.71Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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6.34Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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3.69Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.66Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.11Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.3Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 27.3% | 24.5% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Drew Blackburn | 17.2% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 27.2% | 24.8% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| William Griswold | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 23.2% | 35.2% |
| Max Vinocur | 13.4% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 19.5% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 10.1% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 24.7% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.