← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hope College0.40+1.66vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-0.25+1.73vs Predicted
-
3University of Toledo-0.09+0.41vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University0.34-1.23vs Predicted
-
5Denison University-1.90+1.35vs Predicted
-
6Ohio University-1.47-0.33vs Predicted
-
7Ohio University-1.08-1.89vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.93-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
-
3.73Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
-
3.41University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
-
2.77Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
-
6.35Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
-
5.67Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
5.11Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.3Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 28.3% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Max Vinocur | 13.4% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.9% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| David Aspery | 26.2% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| William Griswold | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 24.4% | 35.1% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 19.8% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 10.2% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 25.0% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.