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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.73vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.40+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+0.45vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.93+2.36vs Predicted
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5Denison University-1.90+1.34vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.08-0.99vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.25-3.24vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.47-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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2.73Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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3.45University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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6.36Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.34Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.01Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.76Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.62Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 27.7% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Evan Rodgers | 27.1% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.1% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 24.7% | 35.4% |
| William Griswold | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 24.4% | 34.2% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 10.5% |
| Max Vinocur | 14.4% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Atkins | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.