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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.25+2.64vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+0.40vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-1.08+1.13vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.93+1.40vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.90+0.28vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.40-4.27vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.47-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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2.8Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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5.13Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.4Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.28Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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2.73Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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5.61Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Vinocur | 14.1% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| David Aspery | 24.7% | 23.9% | 21.1% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Drew Blackburn | 18.4% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 11.1% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 35.8% |
| William Griswold | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 33.9% |
| Evan Rodgers | 28.2% | 24.1% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 22.8% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.