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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+1.65vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-1.08+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+0.42vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34-1.24vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.25-1.28vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.93+0.36vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-0.64vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.47-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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5.1Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.76Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.72Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.36Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.36Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.63Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 28.5% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.0% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| David Aspery | 27.3% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Max Vinocur | 13.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 23.3% | 35.1% |
| William Griswold | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 24.6% | 36.6% |
| Andrew Atkins | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.