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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.09+2.38vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.40+0.68vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.25+0.71vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.93+2.38vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34-2.20vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.47-0.34vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.08-1.88vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.90-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.68Hope College0.400.3%1st Place
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3.71Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.38Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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2.8Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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5.66Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.12Ohio University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.27Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Blackburn | 18.2% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Evan Rodgers | 27.8% | 23.9% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Vinocur | 14.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 16.5% | 22.3% | 36.9% |
| David Aspery | 25.1% | 25.1% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Atkins | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 19.4% |
| Jonathan Chantz | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 10.3% |
| William Griswold | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 26.5% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.