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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.59vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.24-0.08vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute2.29+1.16vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.53+2.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.02-2.54vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.53vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.06+3.36vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.09+2.54vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.09-1.58vs Predicted
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12Penn State University1.35-3.23vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.39-0.90vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.25-3.20vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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5.41SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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3.92Boston College3.240.2%1st Place
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6.16Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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8.31Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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8.53Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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12.36Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.54Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.42Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.77Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.95Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.8Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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14.71Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 17.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 21.2% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.2% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 14.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 9.9% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 10.9% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| John Shanahan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Paul Hart | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Evan Shone | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 23.9% | 16.8% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 18.5% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.