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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.49vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.09+7.45vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.24-0.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.02-0.60vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute2.29+0.27vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+1.62vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.53+0.21vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.09+3.46vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.61vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.35-2.28vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.06+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.39+0.16vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.26-5.08vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.25-3.21vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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9.45Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.97Boston College3.240.2%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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6.27Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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8.62Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.21Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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12.46Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.39SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.72Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.42Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.92Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.79Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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14.67Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 20.7% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 13.5% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 10.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.0% |
| Evan Shone | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 17.3% |
| Paul Hart | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 4.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 19.5% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.