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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.49vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.06+10.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.02+1.31vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.09+5.49vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute2.29+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.00vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.24-3.11vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.75vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.09+3.35vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.49vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.35-2.41vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.26-3.04vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.39+0.12vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.08-4.68vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.25-3.30vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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12.24Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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9.49Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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6.13Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.89Boston College3.240.2%1st Place
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5.25SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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12.35Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.51Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.59Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.96Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.32Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.7Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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14.66Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 20.9% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 9.4% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.3% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 18.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 10.7% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Shanahan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Paul Hart | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Evan Shone | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| Harrison Paige | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 5.8% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 18.8% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.