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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.26+2.68vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.87+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-0.41+1.75vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.03-0.16vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.15-0.72vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.96-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-1.75+0.37vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.73-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68North Carolina State University0.2615.8%1st Place
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2.48Clemson University0.8733.1%1st Place
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4.75University of South Carolina-0.418.5%1st Place
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3.84North Carolina State University-0.0314.1%1st Place
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4.28Clemson University-0.1511.8%1st Place
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5.94Duke University-0.965.2%1st Place
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7.37University of North Carolina-1.752.1%1st Place
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5.53The Citadel-0.736.5%1st Place
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7.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 15.8% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 33.1% | 27.0% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Annika Milstien | 14.1% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Kay Lyon | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 11.2% |
| Runyon Tyler | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 22.5% | 41.0% |
| Luke Pennisi | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 6.8% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 23.8% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.