Race 9B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marlena Fauer 22.0% 17.5% 16.6% 13.8% 11.1% 6.8% 6.2% 3.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.8% 13.8% 11.6% 12.7% 14.5% 8.9% 8.7% 8.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 8.9% 9.0% 12.2% 12.5% 11.5% 11.1% 12.1% 10.5% 6.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 16.4% 16.4% 14.8% 13.4% 11.1% 11.8% 6.8% 5.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 11.7% 11.1% 11.7% 11.3% 9.8% 11.9% 11.9% 8.8% 6.7% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 3.8% 4.7% 4.3% 7.3% 6.1% 9.2% 8.4% 13.0% 16.1% 14.4% 9.5% 3.2% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 12.3% 11.4% 10.5% 9.6% 13.5% 11.7% 10.7% 8.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Caitlin Watson 6.4% 7.6% 7.2% 7.9% 9.5% 11.4% 12.1% 13.9% 11.6% 7.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.1% 5.8% 9.2% 12.1% 13.0% 13.9% 15.0% 7.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Paige Fagan 0.7% 1.1% 2.4% 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 4.0% 3.9% 7.8% 15.8% 26.7% 30.3% 1.2%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 4.9% 6.2% 12.6% 19.8% 24.4% 17.6% 1.2%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 5.6% 5.9% 12.1% 22.8% 41.7% 2.7%
Celeste Karpow 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 3.2% 94.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.