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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.02+3.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.24+0.78vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.09+5.51vs Predicted
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5Penn State University1.35+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.39+7.15vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute2.29-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.69vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.08-0.59vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.09+1.30vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.06+0.36vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.57vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.26-5.21vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.25-3.30vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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3.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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3.78Boston College3.240.2%1st Place
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9.51Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.66Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.18Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.31SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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9.41Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.3Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.36Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.43Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.79Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.7Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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14.67Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Hackstaff | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 19.1% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 17.5% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| John Shanahan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Evan Shone | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 17.8% |
| Cody Stansky | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 9.9% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 12.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Paul Hart | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 4.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 17.9% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.