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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+5.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.24+0.82vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.02-1.64vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.09+2.32vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.26+0.92vs Predicted
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9Penn State University1.35-0.30vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.06+2.22vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.53-2.72vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.09+0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.39-0.01vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-5.48vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.25-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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3.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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3.82Boston College3.240.2%1st Place
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5.34SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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9.32Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.92Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.7Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.22Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.28Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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12.45Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.52Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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11.43Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 20.9% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 18.0% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Paul Hart | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| John Shanahan | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 21.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 24.1% | 22.5% |
| Evan Shone | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 37.5% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.