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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.52+2.03vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.48+3.45vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.47+0.04vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.11+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.92+0.68vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.41-0.89vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.25-2.54vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.93-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Clemson University0.5224.1%1st Place
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5.45North Carolina State University-0.485.7%1st Place
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3.04North Carolina State University0.4724.6%1st Place
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4.23Clemson University-0.1114.4%1st Place
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5.68University of North Carolina-0.925.4%1st Place
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5.11The Citadel-0.418.2%1st Place
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4.46Duke University-0.2511.6%1st Place
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6.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.364.0%1st Place
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7.49University of South Carolina-1.931.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Adams | 24.1% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Parks | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 8.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 24.6% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Neil Bunce | 14.4% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 10.3% |
| Henry Parker | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Froeb | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 22.8% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.