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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+3.74vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+3.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+0.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+1.12vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.53+5.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48-2.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.04-0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.03+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-4.88vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-4.87vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.76-1.89vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-2.59-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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3.54Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.12Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.23Boston University0.530.0%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University3.480.2%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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10.11University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Connecticut-2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 21.9% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Claflin | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Goodrich | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 23.3% | 36.5% | 2.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 16.2% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily McNeil | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexi Schwartzkopff | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 22.5% | 1.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 27.2% | 30.8% | 1.6% |
| Celeste Karpow | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 94.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.