Race 11B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Natalie Salk 17.2% 15.7% 14.6% 13.2% 12.7% 8.9% 8.1% 5.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 21.8% 19.1% 15.9% 13.6% 11.0% 7.4% 5.4% 3.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 9.1% 10.9% 12.0% 12.8% 11.0% 11.0% 12.4% 8.4% 7.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.8% 12.3% 12.3% 13.9% 11.4% 11.1% 10.6% 7.7% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 5.0% 4.0% 5.5% 4.7% 8.4% 8.3% 8.0% 12.7% 16.0% 14.4% 10.0% 2.9% 0.1%
Chanel Miller 10.7% 11.1% 12.2% 10.9% 12.9% 11.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 10.4% 12.4% 10.1% 9.6% 10.9% 13.3% 11.4% 9.9% 7.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 4.2% 7.0% 9.7% 19.1% 25.1% 20.6% 0.7%
Emily McNeil 4.5% 5.0% 6.2% 5.2% 6.6% 9.3% 12.4% 11.5% 16.5% 13.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.1%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 1.6% 2.9% 1.8% 3.9% 6.1% 12.4% 21.9% 41.3% 3.1%
Paige Fagan 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.7% 9.0% 17.6% 26.6% 26.3% 1.5%
Caitlin Watson 6.4% 5.0% 7.3% 9.9% 8.2% 10.6% 11.5% 15.0% 11.4% 8.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Celeste Karpow 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 3.5% 94.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.