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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel-0.41+4.12vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.48+3.31vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52+0.04vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.25+0.41vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.47-1.93vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.53vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.11-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.92-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.93-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12The Citadel-0.418.2%1st Place
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5.31North Carolina State University-0.487.2%1st Place
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3.04Clemson University0.5224.9%1st Place
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4.41Duke University-0.2511.2%1st Place
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3.07North Carolina State University0.4724.5%1st Place
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6.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.363.8%1st Place
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4.31Clemson University-0.1112.8%1st Place
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5.68University of North Carolina-0.925.4%1st Place
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7.54University of South Carolina-1.932.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Parker | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 7.1% |
| Luke Adams | 24.9% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Froeb | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 24.5% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 22.5% |
| Neil Bunce | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 10.1% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.