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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+3.04vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+1.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.92+1.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28-0.05vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.55+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.82+1.19vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.01+1.59vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52-2.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.83-1.80vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24-3.97vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.59Harvard University2.380.2%1st Place
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4.76Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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3.95Tufts University2.280.2%1st Place
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5.46Maine Maritime Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
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8.59Wentworth Institute of Technology0.010.0%1st Place
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5.43Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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7.2Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.03University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 14.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 21.2% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Benton Croop | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 8.4% |
| Gordon Lameyer | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 28.6% | 24.3% |
| Ben Brown | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| William Manning | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 18.9% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.