Race 12B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kelsey Wheeler 12.4% 11.4% 12.7% 12.8% 11.6% 12.7% 9.3% 8.2% 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 8.6% 11.0% 10.9% 12.4% 11.1% 11.7% 11.2% 9.9% 7.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 16.1% 17.2% 13.6% 13.3% 11.6% 11.0% 7.9% 5.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 20.9% 20.6% 15.7% 13.3% 9.2% 9.1% 5.6% 3.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 2.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 5.4% 6.5% 9.7% 19.1% 24.2% 20.2% 1.3%
Caitlin Watson 6.4% 6.9% 8.0% 9.6% 7.9% 12.4% 11.7% 12.4% 12.6% 7.3% 4.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 5.5% 4.9% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 7.4% 10.2% 13.8% 15.9% 12.3% 7.7% 1.8% 0.0%
Caitlin Goodrich 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 2.7% 6.1% 15.6% 22.0% 39.8% 2.4%
Jessica Claflin 11.2% 9.5% 11.2% 9.6% 13.3% 10.5% 13.0% 8.7% 8.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 11.1% 10.9% 11.8% 11.4% 12.5% 10.1% 9.8% 9.1% 7.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 4.2% 3.6% 5.9% 5.3% 8.3% 6.7% 10.0% 15.2% 14.7% 14.5% 8.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Paige Fagan 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.7% 4.7% 8.4% 14.0% 26.1% 32.3% 1.5%
Celeste Karpow 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 2.5% 94.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.