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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.47+2.07vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.25+2.47vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52-0.01vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.41+1.13vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.48+0.30vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.11-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.92-2.20vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.93-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07North Carolina State University0.4724.0%1st Place
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4.47Duke University-0.2510.4%1st Place
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2.99Clemson University0.5225.9%1st Place
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5.13The Citadel-0.417.2%1st Place
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5.3North Carolina State University-0.487.5%1st Place
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4.22Clemson University-0.1113.0%1st Place
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6.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.363.5%1st Place
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5.8University of North Carolina-0.926.1%1st Place
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7.46University of South Carolina-1.932.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 24.0% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Froeb | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Luke Adams | 25.9% | 22.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 13.0% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 12.5% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.