Race 1B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Kelleher 27.7% 26.8% 17.9% 13.9% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 33.1% 25.7% 21.5% 11.7% 5.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Millham 6.9% 7.7% 11.1% 12.4% 17.7% 19.2% 15.0% 7.1% 2.6% 0.3%
Jeff Goodrich 15.4% 20.0% 21.7% 20.0% 12.6% 6.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Campbell 3.9% 5.3% 6.3% 9.0% 12.5% 16.1% 19.9% 17.9% 8.4% 0.7%
Thomas Presti 6.0% 7.1% 8.8% 13.5% 14.9% 19.2% 17.0% 9.5% 3.4% 0.6%
Gabrielle Heine 1.1% 0.6% 0.8% 2.4% 4.4% 6.4% 9.3% 19.0% 46.3% 9.7%
Tom McKenzie 1.7% 2.0% 3.8% 5.3% 8.5% 9.9% 12.9% 28.0% 24.7% 3.2%
Kevin Walsh 4.0% 4.6% 8.0% 11.4% 15.4% 16.5% 19.0% 14.3% 6.2% 0.6%
Noah Aschen 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 3.2% 8.3% 84.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.