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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.47+1.97vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.48+3.19vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52-0.15vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.41+0.84vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.88+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.92-0.48vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.25-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.93-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97North Carolina State University0.4725.7%1st Place
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5.19North Carolina State University-0.487.5%1st Place
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2.85Clemson University0.5227.4%1st Place
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4.84The Citadel-0.418.5%1st Place
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5.62Clemson University-0.885.7%1st Place
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5.52University of North Carolina-0.927.1%1st Place
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4.29Duke University-0.2511.5%1st Place
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7.34University of South Carolina-1.932.4%1st Place
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6.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.364.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 25.7% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Luke Adams | 27.4% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Laufer | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Froeb | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 45.6% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.