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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+3.74vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+3.10vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+2.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+0.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.53+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.04+1.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-3.51vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.20-1.00vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.76+1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-4.96vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.03-1.53vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.53-1.51vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-2.59-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.1Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.01Tufts University3.480.2%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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3.49Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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10.01University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.49Boston University0.530.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Connecticut-2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Claflin | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 17.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 21.5% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily McNeil | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 16.1% | 24.8% | 31.4% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexi Schwartzkopff | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 23.5% | 17.7% | 1.3% |
| Caitlin Goodrich | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 25.5% | 40.4% | 2.7% |
| Celeste Karpow | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 94.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.