← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+9.41vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.01vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.70+5.60vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.12+2.63vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.73+3.28vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.96+5.55vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.95+4.56vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.79-0.04vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.17vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.44-0.16vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.68+1.75vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.18-1.00vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.23-2.77vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University3.49-5.00vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.88-7.39vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University3.49-6.60vs Predicted
-
17Yale University4.08-10.01vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.45-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
-
7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.6Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
6.63Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
8.28Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.55University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
-
11.56University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
7.96Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.0%1st Place
-
9.84Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
-
12.75Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
-
11.0Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
10.23Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
9.0George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.61Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
9.4Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
-
6.99Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
13.36Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Raul Rios | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Amina Brown | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Axel Sly | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 19.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| John Rolander | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.