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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+9.83vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+6.45vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+8.84vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.83vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+4.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.29vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70+0.31vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.44+0.51vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.08-2.90vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-2.04vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-1.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-5.73vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.88-8.23vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-4.17vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.83Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.51Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.68George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.83Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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13.31Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Axel Sly | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Amina Brown | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| David Larson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| John Rolander | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 19.0% |
| John Silvestri | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.