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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+6.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+6.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+3.57vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+5.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+4.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.18vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96+1.78vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.56vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.68+0.91vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-3.81vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.44-4.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-7.01vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-5.35vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-3.35vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.49-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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12.91Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.24Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.65Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Amina Brown | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Axel Sly | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 26.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.