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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+8.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.06vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+7.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73+0.18vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+1.38vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-0.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-2.81vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-1.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-3.86vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-1.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.78vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-7.11vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-5.26vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.76Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.58George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.97Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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13.35Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Raul Rios | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.8% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.