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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.95vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+7.83vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+5.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.71vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+6.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.87vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+5.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95+3.52vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+0.29vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-1.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-4.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-2.30vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-4.75vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-0.83vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.83vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.23-5.54vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.88-9.20vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.83Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.25Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.17Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Axel Sly | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| John Rolander | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 24.4% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.