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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.88+4.61vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.41+2.95vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.25+1.19vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.47-1.02vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.480.00vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.92-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.93+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.54vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.52-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Clemson University-0.885.3%1st Place
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4.95The Citadel-0.419.2%1st Place
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4.19Duke University-0.2513.2%1st Place
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2.98North Carolina State University0.4724.9%1st Place
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5.0North Carolina State University-0.488.8%1st Place
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5.55University of North Carolina-0.925.9%1st Place
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7.34University of South Carolina-1.932.5%1st Place
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6.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.364.0%1st Place
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2.92Clemson University0.5225.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Laufer | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 10.3% |
| Henry Parker | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Froeb | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 24.9% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 9.3% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 45.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 21.8% |
| Luke Adams | 25.9% | 22.4% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.