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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+7.62vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+8.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+4.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+5.52vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+2.28vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-1.40vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-1.03vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95+1.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-2.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.80vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-2.76vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-1.66vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.44-5.50vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-6.64vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-8.00vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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6.82Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.28George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.34Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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13.38Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.7% |
| Axel Sly | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| John Rolander | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.