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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+8.73vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+6.62vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+7.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.77vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+5.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.69vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45+6.50vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+0.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-0.73vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.08-2.87vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-2.87vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-2.28vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-5.48vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-5.01vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-4.42vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.62vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.73Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.9Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.99George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 26.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| John Rolander | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% |
| Amina Brown | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.