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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.10vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+9.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.85vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+6.24vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+5.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.08vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.44+2.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-1.17vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-0.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.54vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68+1.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-2.81vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-3.82vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-5.90vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-1.55vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.95-4.32vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.88-9.13vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.49-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.81University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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12.74Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.18George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.45Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Axel Sly | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 18.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 25.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| John Rolander | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.