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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.92vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+8.91vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+5.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+6.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+3.26vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.44+3.49vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08-0.17vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96+2.56vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-0.48vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-3.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-2.31vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.11vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.23vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-2.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-5.30vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.91Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.49Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.52George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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13.61Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.46Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Axel Sly | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Amina Brown | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 26.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.