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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+8.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+5.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+2.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+2.99vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.63vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.44+2.52vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+1.24vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.07vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45+2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-0.09vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-0.54vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.23-3.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-3.47vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-7.08vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.49-7.55vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.88-10.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.79Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.61Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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12.46Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Axel Sly | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 27.5% |
| Amina Brown | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| John Rolander | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.