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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+7.60vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+7.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.03vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+4.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73+1.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.43vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23+0.69vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.60vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-1.61vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-1.65vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-3.46vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.44-6.38vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-8.02vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.03Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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13.37Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Raul Rios | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.3% |
| Amina Brown | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| Axel Sly | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| John Silvestri | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.